Some important stats from my poker simulator; 500,000 rounds of Texas Holdem ran heads up all the way to the river. This chart gives you a good idea of the frequency of each rank of hand coming up and its % chance to be winning at show down.
| Hand type | % of hands | % of rounds won |
|---|---|---|
| High | 17.4089 | 5.92426 |
| Pair | 43.801 | 37.0883 |
| Two Pair | 23.5279 | 31.4763 |
| Set | 4.82196 | 7.17954 |
| Straight | 4.613 | 8.0144 |
| Flush | 3.03321 | 5.25662 |
| Full House | 2.59884 | 4.703 |
| Quads | 0.16801 | 0.31176 |
| Straight Flush | 0.02083 | 0.04106 |
| Royal Flush | 0.00241 | 0.00472 |
The above stats are very interesting and should be memorized but they can be a little
misleading. For example only 87% of the hands are won by a flush, but that does not means if there is 3 flush cards on the board that only 7% of the time someone will have one. A poker player really also wants to know that given that the condition for a flush is meet what is the chance that someone at the table has that hand.
| Hand given the Condition | % Hand |
|---|---|
| Set when pair on board | 12.9798 |
| Straight when 3 continuous on board | 9.60703 |
| Straight when 4 continuous on board | 11.4906 |
| Flush when 3 suited on board | 16.3323 |
| Flush when 4 suited on board | 75.0733 |
| Full House when pair on board | 5.62984 |
| Full House when set on board | 66.8129 |
| Full House when 2 pair on board | 33.1935 |
| Quads when pair on board | 0.21424 |
| Quads when set on board | 8.52103 |
Given the above example you can see that in a heads up Texas Holdem game if there is 3 suited cards on the board then it is not 5% chance that someone has a flush but a much higher 16%.
Hope these stats help you guys crush the heads up tables.
Click here for next stats on 3 Handed
♣♥♦
Darkened Poker
Tags: Heads Up, Poker, Texas Holdem
October 23rd, 2009 at 10:07 am
[...] pokerguden wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerptSome stats from the poker simulator, 500,000 heads up hands all the way to the river. Gives you a good idea what to expect at show down.Hand type # Hands % of hands # rounds won % of rounds won High 1740888 17.4089 296213 5.92426 Pair 4380100 43.801 1854416 37.0883 Two Pair 2352790 23.5279 1573816 31.4763 Set 482196 4.82196 358977 7.1795 [...]