Problems testing new play styles at lower poker limits
Posted by: Travis Johnston / Category: Cash Game, Online, Strategy, ToolsAlthough a solid game with stats of VP(voluntary put money in ):20 PR( pre-flop raise ):5, AFq(aggressive freq):33 will make you money in the lower stakes, it will get exploited as it is to easy to read in the med stake levels were people are really paying attention. So I decided to work hard on to trying to push my stats up to VP:25 PR:15 AFq:45 figuring that would get me more action on my good hands and it forces me to steal more. With stats that high I figure would get played with a bit more and need to call down a little lighter some times to pick off people trying to re-steal pots.
Great theory, I reset my poker track database dropped down a few levels to the .05 / .10 stakes to play 10,000 hands and see how it was working out, sadly I found these stats.
Opps
What the hell is wrong here I am loosing money with 3 of the Texas Holdem bread and butter hands. Not only that my over all win rate with them is pretty good, 60 – 70 % for a non paired hand is ok, anything over 50% is above average. The W$WSF ( Win money if see flop ) is not great but better than the min 33% it should be for a non paired hands.
Last two stats then, WTSD ( Went to show down ) & W$SD ( % won money at show down ). My WTSD is about right as it should be between 33% and 48%. But my W$SD rate is terrible 2 out of 3 are below 50%, opps hard to make money when your wrong > 50 percent of the time!
Ok is my theory just wrong and the play style can not make money. Pretty sure it can, so I looked through the 200 individual hands and it is clear that I am thin value betting to much and not getting played or called down light as much as I thought I would. In fact even though I am raising 20% of the time pre-flop I am still winning most hands pre-flop as well.
Originally I moved down so I would not loose to much money while trying out his other style, but in this case I think I moved down to far where people do not notice or adapt to this level of aggression enough to make it viable. Lesson learn, this level is good for cheaply practicing the first part of my plan which is ramping up the aggression and stats. But I think I need to move up closer to my normal level to practice take advantage of the results.
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Tags: Poker, Texas Holdem